You Are an Absolute Moron for Believing in the Hype of “AI Agents”.

But no reasonable company is going to replace their operations team with a suite of extremely expensive, error-prone agents in order to run critical processes for their business.

And if they try, we will all see with our own eyes how they go bankrupt in two years. They'll be a lesson in the business textbooks, and OpenAI will make an additional $1 billion in revenue.

Let's say you're using GPT-4o-mini for agentic work.

Your agent breaks the task of extracting financial information for a company into smaller subtasks. Let's say the probability it does each subtask correct is 90%.

With this, the errors compound. If a task is even moderately difficult with four subtasks, the probability of the final output being good is extremely low.

Instead of writing deterministic code that is cheap to run everywhere and can run on an arduino (or in practice, a T2 micro-instance from AWS), you are writing non-deterministic prompts for a model running on a cluster of GPUs.

Like I swear, this must be bot farms, ignorant non-technical people, and manufactured hype from OpenAI so that they can receive more funding. I mean, how many software engineers do you know that released production-ready agents?

That's right. None.

Here's why all of this manufactured hype is nonsense.